Archive for September 25th, 2008

Week 4 NFL Picks

After a stellar 10-5 week, I feel I’m on the right track.  I’ve got it figured out now, so these picks should be dead on from here on out.  That or I’ll go below .500 for the first time, I can feel it coming.  Let’s see what this week holds, shall we?

Cleveland over Cincy: In the battle for who starts 1-3 and who starts 0-4.  It should be gripping and exciting.  Or it could be the most boring game of the weekend.  You decide.  It’s now or never for Cleveland.  As for Cincy?  They should just start over.

Tennessee over Minnesota: Minny got the right track last week with the Gus Frerotte era, but I think they come back down to earth against that Tennessee defense.  Who would have thought Tenn could be 4-0 to start the year?  Not me, that’s for sure!

Denver over KC: If I had any money to bet, I’d bet it all on Denver.  KC is atrocious.  The Tyler Thigpen (WHO?) era got off to an inauspicious start last week.  Will KC ever win or are they my best shot at 0-16?  I’ll have to see if they play the Rams at all.

New Orleans over San Fran: The 9ers are showing definite signs of life, but they’re showing them against crappy teams like the Rams and Seattle (sorry but I could start at WR for the Hawks and I’m 5’4″).  NO had a heartbreaker at Denver last week and I expect them to return to form here.  Shockey’s absence won’t hurt them this game.

Arizona over the Jets: I’m going out on a limb here, shouldn’t bet against Favre three weeks in a row probably but I just don’t think the Jets are that great, sorry.  Zona gagged at the Skins last week but I think they’ll be back to form this week.

Green Bay over Tampa Bay: Ahh the battle of teams that were in the Favre mess but didn’t land him. Much anticipated.  Or not.  Tampa had a stirring come back win last weekend against Chicago and GB got stomped pretty badly by Dallas.  But GB has an offense and the Bucs D has been getting tired in the second half of games, so GB is the pick.

Carolina over Atlanta: The seesaw continues for Matt Ryan.  Bad defense, good defense, bad defense, good defense.  He’s won the bad D games and form should hold and he’ll lose the good D games.

Jacksonville over Houston: The Jags finally got back on track last week, their running game was well over 200 yards and Gerrard protected the ball.  Houston is terrible and seems to have stepped back this year after having some positive movement this year.  Jags with the win.

San Diego over Oakland: Lane Kiffin is still employed right?  Why does Al Davis drag this stuff out?  SD was back in form this weekend and I don’t see them losing here without having half the team go down.

Buffalo over St. Louis: And the Bills go to 4-0 also.  What a strange year this is.  Meanwhile, the Rams have Trent Green at QB.  Did anybody see that and think, Trent Green?  I thought he was retired!  What year is this?  Just me?  Ok…well I don’t know when Trent last played but it’s been awhile.  I don’t foresee this experiment going well, but who knows, maybe he’ll be the next Gus Frerotte (surprisingly that is not a slam this year, hehe).

Dallas over Washington: The Skins were good last week but I don’t think they have the offense to hang with Dallas.  The Boys roll along.

Philly over Chicago: The Bears had the kind of game that can affect a season, giving up 10 points in the final 6 minutes and then losing their cool in OT and losing the game.  Philly has been impressive, even in their one loss to Dallas.  Easy pick here.

Pittsburgh over Baltimore: I remain a nonbeliever in the Ravens.  Maybe their D is back to form but that inexperienced offense has to cost them a game here or there right?  Ben got beaten up badly last weekend but I think the Steelers pull it out in a slugfest.

Last Week:10-5

Season Record: 26-20

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